Originally Posted by
Kalrany
Agree 100%.
Of the 15 original roles, we have had 5 successful day kills - taking out the Devil, the Alpha, and a Common Wolf from the Wolves while hitting the Executioner and a common newcommer. The night kills have offed a confirmed Mason and 3 unknowns (Lex-Kat, Penguinator, TBFProgrammer) -- although by OP we know that they cannot have been wolves (see the Alpha description about owning the night kill "Night kill cannot kill wolves."), unless when the night kill passed from Alpha to a new wolf that condition was removed, but I see no note of that in the OP or later.
So by elimination, of the first 15 players, we still have 7 people (usourselves&we , Gray Mage, TigerFang, Ramsus, Grue Bait, Zar Peter, Matthias2207) that cover the remaining roles. There were 5 wolf roles and 10 villager roles. We have removed 2 leaving 3 among the 7 players. We know 2 of the 7 original power roles have been removed by either lynch or night kill.
So of those remaining 7 players, 3 are wolves (voider, disguiser, and beast) and the other 4 are villagers of some type, be they one of the 8 possible roles remaining (2 possible other masons, 3 commoners, the seer, fool, baner). We are close to 50/50 for a purely random guess hitting a wolf. While that’s good odds for voting, it’s not good (for the villagers) in terms of the game.