Re: [4E] Grandpre Academy (OOC)
It looks like we nearly have a consensus. I'll wait for an affirmative from either Gillric or Timlaff.
Gillric's attack bonus of +10 has a very reasonable chance of hitting AC22, since he rolls many attacks twice. His odds of hitting a 22 are roughly 70%; better than 90% if Elven Accuracy is accounted for. Ung seems to have a fairly impressive attack bonus (+12), making his chance of hitting AC22 55%.
We seem to have the makings of another success in the seige's big skill challenge here -- something we could certainly use.