Give it a few weeks for the price to settle, since it's from the newest wave of crates.
Similarly, does anyone have one of the following hats for sale?
Pardner's Pompadour
Tin-1000
Texas Ten-Gallon (or Tin-Gallon)
Virtual Reality Headset
Virtual Viewfinder
Going by backpack.tf's suggested prices, I do have sufficient Refined for any of them...