If you don't know who the author is or was sure, but if you do know who the author was and you can find out what they had to say about it they take precedent. Every time. Unless they start waffling and changing their mind to the point it becomes clear they themselves don't actually know anymore.
Just because you are wrong about what the author was trying to say doesn't mean you then get to turn around and just say the author is now wrong. That isn't how things work.