Spoiler: DM Rolls
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Fisher Ice Shard:
Damage: (1d5+24)[25]
Crit: (1d100)[55] - crit on 6 or below

Cosmas Confusion:
Stays Confused: (1d100)[89] - on 60 or below
Hurts self in confusion: (1d100)[92] - on 50 or below