I'm sorry, what? You advance two contradictory propositions, both with zero evidence, and insist this empowers you to make demands about Elan's build?
This is textbook unreasonable doubt. It's rooted in hypothesized and unpresented evidence. I've changed my mind, 16+/1+ is the right answer because letting arguments like this dictate the discussion is poisonous. If we have to update the OP with a paragraph about how decisions are made using the evidence available at the time, and Rich can introduce new evidence at any time, we should.