I'm leaning towards the latter for the previously mentioned reasons, though I feel like we're kinda short on trusted people. I have some townleans but nothing close to solid.
Kraken seems like an odd choice to kill, assuming he's a wolf kill (which seems the most likely, though far from certain. If it's a vig or some murderous neutral, I suppose any investigation might lead us in the wrong direction). Or maybe not, I didn't get anyone to join me in voting him, after all, so maybe he was more townread than I thought?