By my odds, your lethality still gives you an edge. I need to whittle you down more, and for that, I need something other than what I have now. So, let's try this.
TEMBWBAM, Round 8
Double move, starting in J16. You lose LOS as I move from E13 to E12...
for refs:
Spoiler
... ending in D7.
Hide: (1d20+12)[31]
MS: (1d20+7)[19]
Done.
EDIT:
Also for Refs:
Spoiler
Currently broken panes: Ground level, Glass between M14 and N14.
Stats:
SpoilerMovement: Double move, J16 to D7.
HP: 7/8
AC: 18/Touch 16/FF 13
In hand: Acid vial
Used this match: Alchemist's Fire x2
Odds
Spoiler
Odds of 1 shot kill: 85% hit chance * 50% stagger/kill chance = 42.5%
At 20 feet: 75% hit chance * 50% stagger/kill chance = 37.5%
Opponent: 55% hit chance, 100% kill chance = 55%
On a charge or raging: 65%, 100% = 65%
Both: 75%, 100% = 75%.