Memesville II - Memes? In MY Structured? (Game Thread)

[rakkoon]

We haven't lost yet? YAY

[Oddity]

but very sooon.
*laughs, falls over, re-dies*

[Reinholdt]

Stop! Hammer time!

[rakkoon]

That would be this one ?

Spoiler

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Away notice:
Dumped the kids at my parents and off to a romantic weekend in Paris (with my own wife no less)
Will be back on monday

[Rutskarn]

We're down to 13 people, guys. Let's do this.

Fight. Fight for my amusement. Fight, I say!

Uh. Also don't lynch me, go get those filthy memes/anonymous before they votekick/lynch you, best of luck.

I'm rooting for you.

[Haruki-kun]

((I'm gonna be very busy all day, so... Please don't expect an update tonight. If I find time I'll try to get it done, although there's a higher chance of winning the lottery than finding time tonight.))

[Haruki-kun]

Night 13 ends.

Freshmeat walks nonchallantly at night back to his place, whistling. All alone in the middle of the dark street, taking as many alleys as possible. You can see where this is going.

As the dark figure of Anon comes around a corner, he looks at him and smiles. "Evening, Anonymous. Fine weather we're having isn't it?"

"........I don't really like it," Anon responds, "it's a little warm. I actually prefer cold, rainy days, they're a little more..." he stops himself and stamps on the cigarette butt. "You derailed me?"

"Looks like it."

"Oh, you." He takes a cigar this time and lights it. "If only you were on my side."

"I'll take that as a compliment."

"Don't."

" 'K."

"Well," says Anon blowing a smoke ring, "I suppose you know what I'm here for. I'm here to kill you in a comic way and leave your bleeding corpse on the street, for the sake of conquering the Internet."

"Cool story, bro."

Anonymous looks annoyed. "I beg your pardon?"

"You're not gonna kill me. You can't."

"Oh? And why is that, exactly?"

"I got Norton!"

".........."

"HA! Bitches don't know about MY Norton!"

"..................Vlad?"

"Yes, sir?" asks a deep, threatening voice from the darkness.

"Feel free."

"Thank you, sir."

Anon was wrong. There was no blood left in the corpse.

tl; dr:
Freshmeat was killed. He was a Meme.

Day begins now and ends in 48 hours.

Did not vote yesterday:
Geesi
Rutskarn

[happyturtle]

Alive:

Darkcomet
Geesi
Happyturtle
Hell Puppi
PhantomFox
rakkoon
Reinholdt
Rutskarn
Shadowcaller
The Bookworm
The Fiery Tower
Uncle Festy

Dead Mudkipz:

banthesun
Fleeing Coward
Moofin Bard
Mordokai
Opeth_Freak

Dead Gentlemen:

Mechafox
Night Surgeon
Oddity (Milhouse)
Vibrant

12 players left. 3-5 gentlemen, 1 neutral, the rest memes.

This might be our last day.

[Lex-Kat]

PirateMonk's dead. He was auto'd with me. BoOoOooOOooooOoooOOO......

[Rutskarn]

I have no idea who to kill, and it doesn't matter anyway, so screw Reinholdt because apparently killing Fox back in Insanowar wasn't enough punishment.

[happyturtle]

The Bookworm

[Darkcomet]

Hell Puppi for pushing Freshmeat long after people had stopped trying to kill him, for the most part.

[Guancyto]

Nuts, I need to vote.

Uh, The Bookworm I guess.

[Uncle Festy]

Eeenie, meenie, minie, Helli Puppi.

[The Bookworm]

Hell Puppi please!

[Hell Puppi]

Welp....really I only voted for Freshmeat because I wasn't really convinced about the DD wagon. I think I voted for him again because I'm not paying attention.

Still I think us Meme's are pretty screwed and I can't really help because I still have no idea what's going on so..

The Bookworm. For the lulz.

[rakkoon]

Ok, for going down in a blaze of glory : The bookworm

[TFT]

Lets go with The Bookworm.

[Reinholdt]

Hell Puppi because of the I don't have a clue thing being used so late in the game. It practically giving up and handing the win over to the wolves. Or it's a wolf convincing others to give up. I'm banking on the later.

[Haruki-kun]

((Been doing physics for two days straight. Man, I'm exhausted....))

Day 14 ends.

tl; dr:
Exactly what it says on the picture.
Night begins now and ends in-haha-24 hours. Please send in your actions.

[rakkoon]

Okay, Wolves? How about a draw?

[Opeth_Freak]

((Been doing physics for two days straight. Man, I'm exhausted....))

Day 14 ends.

tl; dr:
Exactly what it says on the picture.
Night begins now and ends in-haha-24 hours. Please send in your actions.

Hah! It's exactly like the reaction of Polish football/soccer fans, every time, we're playing an important match

[Hell Puppi]

We are so very boned

Unless anyone has any ideas? Anyone?

....yes, I know, lynch me, but that really isn't going to help anything unless you're a wolf/gentleman.

[rakkoon]

Spreadsheets would be welcome, preferably from a non-wolf

[Haruki-kun]

Night 14 ends.

((I'm sorry, guys, I can't do this right now, I'll write this narration as soon as I have the chance. Which MAY be Friday.))

tl; dr
Phantom Fox was killed. He was a Mudkip. Day begins now and ends in 48 hours, I hope.

Did not vote:
Shadowcaller

[Shadowcaller]

Okay, I'm fairly suspicious of Reinholdt since he would usually come with at least some analyze at this point.

[happyturtle]

Yeah, I have no reason to trust Reinholdt.

[Reinholdt]

Okay, I'm fairly suspicious of Reinholdt since he would usually come with at least some analyze at this point.

Fair enough. I was actually most suspicious of Phantom Fox but...
Getting a job as well as attending a weekend convention kills your time schedule. Proper analysis takes a good two hours at the very least. And I do I wish I was kidding about the length of time.

But I've got time today with my day off (for once) so I'll be working on it now/today.

[Rutskarn]

Shadowcaller, because he didn't vote.

What?

I know I didn't vote either a few rounds ago, but this is...look, it's arbitrary, I don't need a...

Well, screw you anyway.

[Reinholdt]

Err... spoilered for length. TLDR under it.

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*looks over thread again*
...
Wow. No wonder there's a lack of information and gentlemen catching. We have one gentlemen who auto'd. One who got shot by a zealous sniper. And one who was killed on day one.

I can tell you right now my primary analysis comes from actual lynching of wolves. So take what I say with a several grains of salt.

Therefore though, my primary information will be drawn from Night Surgeon's lynch and extrapolated from there. Though even that was muddled with role claims.

Alive people (minus filthy neutrals and the only good guy I can trust):
Darkcomet
Geesi
Happyturtle
Hell Puppi
rakkoon
Shadowcaller
The Fiery Tower
Uncle Festy

The Wolf lynchings
The Night Surgeon lynch
DC - Third on NS wagon.
Happyturtle - Fourth on NS wagon.
The Fiery Tower - After the dual claims, pushes for Night Surgeon about the same time that:
Rakkoon - pushes for Fleeing Coward (switches after Opeth to NS)
Geesi - Offwagons, switches after Opeth to NS
Shadowcaller - Stayed off either one.
Hell Puppi - Away.
Uncle Festy - Didn't vote.

This doesn't tell us too much. But it's likely that both Comet and Happyturtle are safe in order of greatest to least in terms of likelihood.

Still leaves six to deal with though.

Going back to day one, the Mechafox lynch...
Rakkoon was fifth on Mechafox wagon.
Looking at the other wagons, there were a bunch sitting at three when he voted. In other words, Mecha was going to be lynched anyways. And he voted 2 days and 2 hours after the start of the day.
In other words, it could go either way from this information. He could be a meme voting against Mecha or he could be a wolf who saw that Mecha was going to get lynched anyways. It was only due to narrator issues that the day spread out as long afterwards as it did.
No other known gentlemen were pointed at that day.

Wolf voting
Vibrant - Incredibly on and off with voting. Literally. She either didn't vote, or what few times she did, she voted at a now dead good guy. No info.
Mechafox - Pointed once! No info.
Oddity - Day 1. Helgraf.
Day 2. Duos.
Day 3. Deathslayer7 switched to Helgraf.
Day 4. Bayar.
Day 5. No vote.
Day 6. The Bookworm.
All good guys. All dead. No info.
Night Surgeon - Day 2 is particularly interesting. Happyturtle is getting wagoned when these statements start cropping up:

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/does not back the Happy wagon. Ever.

So, instead of Happy, I point at.... Fleeing Coward randomly.

*Hides on happyturtle bandwagon*

*activates Geass*

Lelouch Vi Britannia commands you. Change your point!

It's also fairly obvious that the narrator would not pick the same wolves twice. That's just silly.

That would be true, were it not for the fact that the wolves are selected randomly, and if it was known the narrator wouldn't pick the same people to be wolves again, that would given an extra advantage to team good.

That said, PirateMonk for hiding on a bandwagon.

Also, I'm away 'til tuesday evening.

Well, mathmatically the chances of being a wolf are already low, combined with the fact that it has already happened. The chances of Happy being a gentlemen are rather low.

Also, I'd say Pirate Monk., the stated hiding in a bandwagon is decidedly wolfish.

And the Happy wagon collapses just as quickly. Though admittedly she had a cute kitty on her side, these statements throw into question my previous considering of her being safe. For now, I'll put her back on the list as questionable. I'm reluctant, but she may have been willing to sacrifice Night Surgeon to stay hidden as I've seen happen many a time, so I'm unsure.

Day 3. he points at me for that tired Playa business before switching to Hyozo after Hyozo claims.
Didn't vote day 1 or 4.
Day 5. Night Surgeon votes Kyouhen to save himself from the counter-wagon.
Day 6. Points at DD.
Day 7. Lynched. Points at Fleeing Coward.

So the most we learn from wolf voting patterns is that day 2 is suspicious.

Voting for Known Wolves! Non-lynch days.
Mecha- None.
Vibrant - None living.
Oddity - None living.
Night Surgeon - Me day 4, but the counter-wagon on him that almost overcame Kyouhen's was derailed by PhantomFox, Moofin and Deathslayer7.
Day 5, Geesi and DarkComet. Early in the day.
No others living.

Digging through the thread multiple times for all that info, I'm inclined to look closer at Shadowcaller.
Day 1 - Banjo
Day 2 - No vote
Day 3 - Selrahc, switch to Helgraf at day end
Day 4 - No vote
Day 5 - Hell Puppi
Day 6 - No vote
Day 7 - PirateMonk
Day 8 - Freshmeat
Day 9 - Selrahc. Bandwagon pops up afterwards interestingly enough saving Happy.
Day 10 - Freshmeat. Bandwagon pops up afterwards, but a slow one and pales in comparison to the deathslayer7 one. Failed wagon.
Day 11 - No vote
Day 12 - DD, suddenly interested in protecting Freshmeat. Switches away to Happyturtle when DD claims... villager. This essentially jumps him off both wagons at day end.
Day 13 - Lex-kat. Following Freshmeat, though no wagon exists yet.
Day 14 - No vote

Ok. So I see a definite pattern here. Shadowcaller tends to avoid bandwagons like the plague and skips votes incredibly often. Day 2, he switched on wagon to save the seer (no brainer for a wolf). He completely avoids Night Surgeon, either voting for or against him. And he's all for killing Freshmeat until it seems that it'd make him look bad and starts following Freshmeat instead. He's also incredibly good at getting bandwagons to pop up after he points, which probably indicates some wolf direction.

Shadowcaller is highly suspicious and may lead us to other hiding gentlemen.
3 hours for one analysis.