Results 91 to 120 of 296
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2011-09-28, 06:33 PM (ISO 8601)
- Join Date
- Jun 2010
- Location
- Porto Alegre, Brazil
- Gender
Re: Reverse WW V - The Villagers Wrath!
Last edited by Gray Mage; 2011-09-28 at 06:33 PM.
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2011-09-28, 06:49 PM (ISO 8601)
- Join Date
- Dec 2006
- Location
- In the shadows
- Gender
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2011-09-28, 06:58 PM (ISO 8601)
- Join Date
- Aug 2010
- Location
- Yes.
- Gender
Awesome Lion Avatar by the wonderful Mr. Saturn. Thanks
I have a bloog now. Go check it out if you love strange poetry.
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2011-09-28, 07:42 PM (ISO 8601)
- Join Date
- Apr 2011
- Location
- Australia
- Gender
Re: Reverse WW V - The Villagers Wrath!
Ramsus because he's pointing at me. And that is utterly scary.
"Trust bladescape, Shadow of Doubt,"
My almighty and all knowing extended Signature lies HERE! Now includes awesome quotes!
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2011-09-28, 10:51 PM (ISO 8601)
- Join Date
- Jan 2008
- Location
- Here
- Gender
Re: Reverse WW V - The Villagers Wrath!
super dark33 for his unique font!
Thanks goes to Vampire Pumpkin for my awesome avatar!
Formerly known as The Fiery Tower Formerly known as Catseye2121.
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2011-09-29, 04:00 AM (ISO 8601)
- Join Date
- Jul 2007
- Location
- TGaPT
Re: Reverse WW V - The Villagers Wrath!
Come one, come all! GitP MLP Steam Group is open!
Current location of the last MLP Thread OP, too.
Want to ask me something? Use MAIL or message me on Steam!
"Well, the Great and Powerful Trixie can't actually transport you to Equestria... But!
The Great and Powerful Trixie can beat you over the head until you think that's what happened!"
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2011-09-29, 04:35 AM (ISO 8601)
- Join Date
- Aug 2008
Re: Reverse WW V - The Villagers Wrath!
Qwaz hasn't got anyone point at him yet, so I'll make another one person wagon.
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2011-09-29, 07:38 AM (ISO 8601)
- Join Date
- Jul 2010
- Location
- The Fortress of Cereneld
- Gender
Re: Reverse WW V - The Villagers Wrath!
Well, my random point goes to erikun.
What do you mean "Dungeon Master" isn't a proper job?
Thanks to Thufir for the avatar.
D&D Characters Past and Present:
Spoiler
The Honest Man (3.5 LG human fighter), Princess Kailee (4e Good elf cleric), Elric (4e Good human paladin)
Talia Dakashnit (3.5 CE human fighter), Gabriel Stryfe (d20 Modern fast hero), Tacin Willow (3.5 NG human fighter//bard)
GitP Blood Bowl Legacy League - Season 3 recruiting
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2011-09-29, 11:31 AM (ISO 8601)
- Join Date
- May 2011
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2011-09-29, 02:06 PM (ISO 8601)
- Join Date
- Aug 2010
- Gender
Re: Reverse WW V - The Villagers Wrath!
Gray Magesolely because he's the only person with more than 1 vote on him and we really should lynch someone.
Edit: I'm wondering something. Bill, why do you say using the night kill is bad? The wolves are all blind, we don't have any power roles we could accidentally hit. I don't see how the random guessing/analysis of the crowd is necessarily any better than that of an individual.Last edited by Ramsus; 2011-09-30 at 03:33 PM.
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2011-09-29, 04:18 PM (ISO 8601)
- Join Date
- Dec 2008
- Gender
Re: Reverse WW V - The Villagers Wrath!
The random guessing of the crowd versus the individual is one way to look at it, and yes, they're generally both about equal (Although with more members in the crowd it's more likely to have correct analysis, and flaws in reasoning can be examined more thoroughly).
However! The analysis of the crowd is visible to everyone, and adds much more information from a lynch than the nightkill does - which way people vote, what they say to justify their vote, and so on. A nightkill only reveals someone's role - something we get from the lynch.Avatar by Me!
Recaiden made the mime doll.
Spoiler: Nexus Characters
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2011-09-29, 04:43 PM (ISO 8601)
- Join Date
- Jun 2010
- Location
- Porto Alegre, Brazil
- Gender
Re: Reverse WW V - The Villagers Wrath!
Last edited by Gray Mage; 2011-09-30 at 04:33 PM.
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2011-09-29, 05:03 PM (ISO 8601)
- Join Date
- Jul 2011
- Location
- I don't even know anymore
- Gender
Re: Reverse WW V - The Villagers Wrath!
Last edited by Grue Bait; 2011-09-29 at 07:00 PM.
Avatar by whatever Zjoot became.
Will take suggested phrases in sig. PM with ideas
Am I missed in my absence?
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2011-09-29, 06:49 PM (ISO 8601)
- Join Date
- Mar 2008
- Gender
Re: Reverse WW V - The Villagers Wrath!
We've been saying this since the first game, Grue Bait. Unless you have legitimate reasons to suspect someone of being a Villager, it's just blind luck, so odds are you'll hit a fellow Wolf. So you're thinning down our numbers without giving us any information.
The one counterpoint to this is that using the night kill it limits the number of times the Villager can recruit. But this is stacked up against how much we outnumber the Villager(s) already, which is obviously increased the less of our own we kill."'But there's still such a lot to be done...'
YES. THERE ALWAYS IS."
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2011-09-29, 06:54 PM (ISO 8601)
- Join Date
- Jul 2011
- Location
- I don't even know anymore
- Gender
Re: Reverse WW V - The Villagers Wrath!
Sorry, Thufir, but I haven't been here since the first game. This is only my 3rd ww game and I'm still not clear on all the subtle nuances.
Avatar by whatever Zjoot became.
Will take suggested phrases in sig. PM with ideas
Am I missed in my absence?
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2011-09-29, 06:57 PM (ISO 8601)
- Join Date
- Aug 2010
- Gender
Re: Reverse WW V - The Villagers Wrath!
Last edited by Ramsus; 2011-09-29 at 06:58 PM.
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2011-09-29, 07:06 PM (ISO 8601)
- Join Date
- Jun 2010
- Location
- Porto Alegre, Brazil
- Gender
Re: Reverse WW V - The Villagers Wrath!
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2011-09-29, 08:42 PM (ISO 8601)
- Join Date
- Aug 2010
- Location
- Yes.
- Gender
Re: Reverse WW V - The Villagers Wrath!
Switching to Ramsus, because Grue wanted me to switch off of him and it's the first name that came to my mind.
Awesome Lion Avatar by the wonderful Mr. Saturn. Thanks
I have a bloog now. Go check it out if you love strange poetry.
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2011-09-29, 09:19 PM (ISO 8601)
- Join Date
- Jun 2008
Re: Reverse WW V - The Villagers Wrath!
In order for the wolves to win, all the villagers need to be dead. In order for the villagers to win, they need to take up 50% of the population.
The only time a random kill is desired is when it is more likely to hit a villager than a wolf - which would be never, as the villagers would've already won by that point. Plus, random night kills would just shorten the time needed to find the villagers. At 22 players,it would take us 15 days before the villagers won. (21 starting wolves - 15 wolves = 6 wolves; 1 starting villager + 5 villagers = 6 villagers)Every additional wolf death from a night kill drops that number roughly by one day.
Please note that if the person with the night kill is certain that someone is a villager, or at least reasonably certain, then that heavily factors into things and will easily make it a good idea. How good depends on how certain you are. (and if you are correct, of course )
Yay maths for the second day in a row! This is apparently becoming a habit for me.
Note: Some bad math up above, as I forgot to include the lynchings. We should expect to have 9 days, at the least, to locate the villagers; this assumes a worst-case scenario where only wolves get lynched each day. Regardless, the point still stands; killing an additional wolf each night speeds things up, and you are much more likely to hit a random wolf than a random villager, especially on the first day.Last edited by erikun; 2011-09-30 at 04:17 AM. Reason: bad maths bug
SpoilerThank you to zimmerwald1915 for the Gustave avatar.
The full set is here.
Air Raccoon avatar provided by Ceika
from the Request an OotS Style Avatar thread
A big thanks to PrinceAquilaDei for the gryphon avatar!
original image
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2011-09-29, 10:57 PM (ISO 8601)
- Join Date
- Aug 2010
- Gender
Re: Reverse WW V - The Villagers Wrath!
Ok unlike Gray Mage I'll actually defend myself and probably not magically have votes put onto someone pointing at me in a sudden lump of suspiciousness.
1) I forgot about not needing a minimum number of votes in this game. It's pretty standard to need a minimum number and I didn't bother to go check.
2) We'd all still be lynching nobody at all if I hadn't gone ahead and pointed out nobody was voting and just waiting around for wagons to jump onto.
3) I knew I was drawing attention to myself when I voted first and when I was third on Gray Mage's wagon and again when I asked Bill a question. Does that sound like someone who is trying to avoid attention? And yes, I could be the villager and using having a high profile as a tactic for my defense but....really that gets you lynched more often than not so it's not a tactic I would likely be using. And if I really was anti-town I probably would have tried to make a case for using the night kill, I'm sure there are decent arguments for it I could have used.
4) How many times do I have to die in the first couple days in a row? C'mon, let me play. Sheesh.
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2011-09-30, 01:29 AM (ISO 8601)
- Join Date
- Nov 2010
Re: Reverse WW V - The Villagers Wrath!
CD4...Petty revenge point is petty.
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2011-09-30, 05:25 AM (ISO 8601)
- Join Date
- Jun 2010
- Location
- Porto Alegre, Brazil
- Gender
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2011-09-30, 05:34 AM (ISO 8601)
- Join Date
- Aug 2010
- Gender
Re: Reverse WW V - The Villagers Wrath!
Well then why not suggest an alternate target if you're in the same boat?
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2011-09-30, 01:16 PM (ISO 8601)
- Join Date
- Dec 2006
- Location
- In the shadows
- Gender
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2011-09-30, 01:18 PM (ISO 8601)
- Join Date
- Apr 2011
- Gender
Re: Reverse WW V - The Villagers Wrath!
Lemonus. Good logic!
Total War Stats:
SpoilerCelestial Empire
SpoilerMIL:+++++ +++-
ECO:+++++ +++++ +++++ +++++
MOR:+++++ ++-
ESPD:+++++ +++++ +++++ ++
ESPO:+++++ +++++ +++-
WO:+++++ +
Gobotopia
SpoilerADV:++
ECO:+++++ +++++ +++++ +++++ +++++ +++-
ESP:+
LOY:+++++ +++++ ++
MAG:+++++ +++++ +++++
MIL:+++++ +++++ +++++
REP:+++++ +++++ +
STA:+++++ +++++ +
Lost Woods: ++
Greater Egypt
SpoilerMIL:++
ESP:++
ECO:++++
RES: ++
MOR:+++++ ++
WO:+++++
REP: +++
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2011-09-30, 02:31 PM (ISO 8601)
- Join Date
- May 2011
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2011-09-30, 03:47 PM (ISO 8601)
- Join Date
- Aug 2010
- Gender
Re: Reverse WW V - The Villagers Wrath!
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2011-09-30, 04:32 PM (ISO 8601)
- Join Date
- Jun 2010
- Location
- Porto Alegre, Brazil
- Gender
Re: Reverse WW V - The Villagers Wrath!
Last edited by Gray Mage; 2011-09-30 at 04:34 PM.
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2011-09-30, 07:14 PM (ISO 8601)
- Join Date
- Jan 2011
- Location
- Plane of Elemental Pie
- Gender
Re: Reverse WW V - The Villagers Wrath!
Ramsus for not being me.
And why exactly am I being wagoned?Awesome Pony-Chul by slayerx!
My computer is on the blink. Posting will be affected.
The endless wisdom that is my extended signature lies here.
I have Pokemon!
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2011-09-30, 08:50 PM (ISO 8601)
- Join Date
- May 2007
- Location
- Sin City