Llama Llama Duck 2 - Game Thread - The Return of Insanity

[Zar Peter]

That's what I thought, too, DD...

I point at Hyozo/Iceddragons because I can't point at both Murska and Happy.

[Murska]

Classic wolf behaviour, Zar Peter! Pointing off-wagon when it's clear that there are two wolf suspects!

[Lamech]

Urge to kill rising! Anyway I think Happyturtle and Murrska are attempting to distract us from the game at hand!

[Mordokai]

*put hand on eyes, starts spinning around*
*points at banjo*

Wooooo... I feel dizzy...

*falls down*

[happyturtle]

Notice all this debate? Classic duck behaviour, making atleast one of them look good if the other gets lynched.....

Uh-oh, Dad, he's on to us!

[Murska]

It's no problem... I'll help you.

See? Now she's trying to bring me down with her!

[Lex-Kat]

I think they are both bunnies. So I'll point at DD The Cookiemonster.

[Reinholdt]

Unsure. But two things-Reinholdt is either a Fool or a Duck.

And Festy needs to go post in Insanowar. /poke

For Comet cause he's not reading.

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*giggles and snorts*
Ah the VorteXer ability is just too much fun.
Shame I'll probably be voided the rest of the way in, but I had so much fun packed into that one day it was totally worth it.

Ahem. Guess I ought to explain.
I am not a seer/fool. I have no idea what Jontom's role is. You should NOT lynched him based on any of my scries. And yes, seers/fools should wait until they find a Llama or two and compare their roles with the actual result of the scries to determine whether they're fools or seers over lynch calling.

However, in this game, there's a new way of gaining information. I call it the bogus lynch. Simple method of directing people's attentions to someone with value and high publicity in these games (Jontom Xire), seeing who acts differently or especially eager about it (note this varies from person to person. For instance, Mustiado acted the way I'm used to Mustiado acting when he's on team good, so is low on my list of suspicions right now), making sure said person isn't actually killed (such as say... moving the points from JX to Talic), then building a case off of information gathered.

Anyhoo... hope you got some enjoyment out of that as well. That's the point of the game after all. I'll be here all night! (hopefully a few day/night phases more too). And yes, I do know I am a sneaky git.

Oh and Jontom, I actually wouldn't be surprised if there's an actual complete lack of masons in this game, considering what roles you can pick.

Can't say I'm horribly surprised about Shadow.
Especially after Jontom's last PM he sent me last night.

Hi.

I'm a VorteXer too.

Have you realised that while we cannot VorteX ourselves to keep us safe from lynch, we can VorteX each other.

Also I wonder what happens if two of us make an infinite loop? I think the narrators would go nuts!

Anyway, as the only person who has given me any reason for trust at all, I'd like to pass on the information that after you "outed" me as a duck, two people got in touch very quickly. One was Shadow who later claimed to have a plan whereby I admitted to being a duck to form a network: and then outed them all. The second was Aemoh. I wonder if he's a duck looking for a fellow duck?

Anyway I've already sent in my VorteXer action, and as it's Easter weekend probably won't read your reply to this until after night ends, but perhaps in future rounds we could VorteX each other.

I'm sad we didn't get to try out the infinite loops.
But... I think Aemoh is worth taking a look at.

[happyturtle]

I have some thoughts on bunnies.

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[Mordokai]

A what now?

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[Mustiado]

Happyturtle. I turn her widdershins from the rest of the group, because we all know that ducks can't stand words with double letters in the center of them! Just that last sentence alone has caused her to scream in pain and horror twice. And then once again there.

[happyturtle]

aaaaaaaaAAAAAAAAAAAAaaaaaaaaaaaaAAAAAAAAAAAAaaaaaaaa



Errr... I mean... Ha! That didn't hurt at all! Bring it on!

[Recaiden]

She's an imittator of Snneak! Also known as a ducck.

[Murska]

No! Stop hurting her!

*jumps in front of Happy*

[Fin]

I'm willing to guess that the argument Murska's having is being staged. Skip over it, cause as far as I can tell it is just to try and sucker people into contacting one of them and until we have a seer that would be avery risky thing to do indeed, seeing as they may well be ducks! But they could just as easily be Llama's so!

So DD The Cookiemonster, because he should be revising!

[happyturtle]

Okay, fine.

I am a duck. All ducks, please contact me.

[Lex-Kat]

I'm going to take a chance and vote with Reinholdt.

Maybe Aemoh is a Duck.

[Dallas-Dakota]

So DD The Cookiemonster, because he should be revising!

Nooo, I don't have to revise today!
I should be doing coursework....

[Helgraf]

All this wheedle is quite silly. Quite silly.

Banjo

[billtodamax]

Uh, Happyturtle just claimed duck... Vote Aemoh

[Alarra]

I think that Murska and Happyturtle are just being silly and having fun, which is the point of this game.

Aemoh, on the other hand, sounds like a good option.

[ThePhantom]

Still spinning, good thing I don't get motion sickness. Aemoh

[Szilard]

Aemoh.
Too sick to provide any reasoning other than "bandwagon."

[Shadowcaller]

Aemoh.....

[happyturtle]

Ooh! Since I'm a duck, I should hide in the bandwagon! Aemoh!

[PirateMonk]

This random pointing is useless. To truly determine who the ducks are, we must analyze all information available to us through a holistic proof.

The following is spoilered for length and ridiculousness.

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First, we must define our terms. Each player will be represented with their account name, in brackets ([]) to indicate that the letters do not represent anything. In terms of side, d₁ is duck, b₁ is bunny, and l is llama. For roles, c is careless baner, s is seer/fool, v₁ is voider, d₂ is disguiser, m₁ is mayor, h is Howard, a is assassin, v₂ is vortexer, b₂ is beast, and m₂ is mason.

Thus, we can set up the following equations for the dead players:
[Ariko]=lh
[Dr. Bath]=b₁m₂
[GoC]=b₁m₂
[Jontom Xire]=lv₂
[Shadow]=d₁a
[Talic]=la
[Wolfbane]=ls

From these, we can derive equations for all dead players on the same team:
[Ariko]/h=[Jontom Xire]/v₂=[Talic]/a=[Wolfbane]/s
[GoC]=[Dr. Bath]
[Shadow]/a=d₁

Due the fact that only one duck has been killed, we have little data, and ordinarily could not proceed. Fortunately, however, Shadow is a special case, and so we can apply the inverse of the Formula of Shadow to get this:
[Shadow]/~[Talic]=a^-1

As a^-1=1/a, and [Talic]/l=a, [Shadow]/~[Talic]=1/([Talic]/l), so [Shadow]=~[Talic]/([Talic]/l). As this is true, we can apply Atreyu's Alphabetical Axiom to demonstrate that [The Valiant Turtle]=d₁.

With this information at our disposal, it is fairly easy to determine that Reinholdt, lamech, Griever, ThePhantom, Hyozo, Selrahc and billtodamax are all ducks, for reason I hope I don't have to explain. However, Alarra's Wolf Equilibrium Theorem suggests that there is at least one more duck. Through the information we have acquired so far, we can find that:
[Shadow]/d₁³+b₁[GoC]²+l√([Talic][JontomXire][Ariko]+[Wolfbane]l)=[happyturtle]/[Murska]

While this may look daunting, it is a simple matter to use the converse Atreyu-Xire Function to derive the following:
[happyturtle]=d₁

Thus, happyturtle is a duck.

For the curious, here are the roles of all living players:

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Aemoh: Bunny Mayor
Alarra: Llama Mason
Allysian: Llama Voider
Banjo1985: Llama Beast
billtodamax: Duck Seer/Fool
Catseye2121: Llama Disguiser
Cristo Meyers: Howard the Bunny
Dallas-Dakota: Llama Mason
Darkcomet: Llama Careless Baner
deathslayer7: Llama Assassin
Dragoon: Llama Mayor
Evnafets: Llama Mason
Fin: Bunny Mason
Fleeing Coward: Llama Careless Baner
Griever: Duck Mason
hap_hazard: Howard the Llama
Happyturtle: Duck Everything
Haruki-kun: Llama Voider
Helgraf: Llama Seer/Fool
Iceddragons/Hyozo: Duck Mayor
lamech: Howard the Duck
Lex-kat: Llama Careless Baner
Mordokai: Bunny Beast
Murska: Llama Mason
Mustiado: Llama Disguiser
PirateMonk: Llama Mathematician (secret role)
Radikal Skippy: Bunny Assassin
Recaiden: Llama Mason
Reinholdt: Duck Vortexer
Selrahc: Duck Voider
Shadowcaller: Llama Mayor
Stu42: Howard the Llama
Szilard: Bunny Mason
The Valiant Turtle: Duck Disguiser
ThePhantom: Duck Beast
Trixie: Howard the Llama
Uncle Festy: Llama Beast
xNadia: Llama Mayor
Zar Peter: Llama Assassin
Zeb the Troll: Llama Mason

[Fleeing Coward]

Aemoh

Have the ducks gotten into contact with each other yet? All that needs to happen is for one duck to come out during the night, the rest of the ducks all vote for him and Howard to bane the duck that came out.
Instant Duck Network!

[Murska]

While yeah, that's pretty well done and epic enough by Piratemonk, he forgot to include the warping effect of the Constant.

[Szilard]

Yes, piratemonk, that was epic. But you got my role wrong.

[evnafets]

evnafets points at Reinholdt because all of this VorteXing screws up any vote analysis.

And because he wants to be random to screw up vote analysis for anyone else stupid enough to try it in this game.